Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 31 October 2026

Feyenoord1st · 24 pts
1 - 1Full time
Fortuna Sittard6th · 18 pts
FeyenoordDrawFortuna Sittard
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Feyenoord to win (77%)
Our predictionFeyenoord to winStrong pick
77%Probability
1.31Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.52-0.95Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Feyenoord77%1.31
  • Draw14%7.09
  • Fortuna Sittard9%10.67

Double chance

  • Feyenoord or draw91%1.10
  • Feyenoord or Fortuna Sittard86%1.16
  • Draw or Fortuna Sittard23%4.26

Goals

  • Over 2.567%1.48
  • Under 2.533%3.07

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.78
  • No44%2.29

Match in numbers

This season, Feyenoord at home and Fortuna Sittard away

Feyenoord (home)Fortuna Sittard (away)
Matches45
Points per game2.002.20
Goals scored per game2.752.20
Goals conceded per game1.001.60
Shots on target per game8.54.4
Shots on target conceded3.24.2
Clean sheets50%20%
Over 2.5 goals75%80%
Both teams scored50%80%
  • Feyenoord are unbeaten in 19 league matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard have scored in 7 straight league matches.
  • Feyenoord: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Fortuna Sittard: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Feyenoord matches: 0 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Fortuna Sittard matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Feyenoord go in as strong favourites: 77% to win, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Fortuna Sittard.

At home this season Feyenoord average 2.00 points and 2.8 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Fortuna Sittard take 2.20 points per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Feyenoord manage 8.5 per home game and Fortuna Sittard 4.4 per away game.

Form lines: Feyenoord are unbeaten in 19 league matches; Fortuna Sittard have scored in 7 straight league matches.

Fortuna Sittard are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Feyenoord 2.52, Fortuna Sittard 0.95. The single most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.

In their last 5 league meetings Feyenoord won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 3-08%
  • 1-08%
  • 3-18%

Feyenoord form

WWWWD
  • Dat PSV1-12026-10-25
  • Wat Telstar4-32026-10-17
  • Wvs AZ2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Utrecht5-02026-09-20
  • Wat PEC Zwolle7-02026-09-13

Fortuna Sittard form

LWDDW
  • Wvs Excelsior1-02026-10-25
  • Dat NEC2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Twente1-12026-10-10
  • Wat Willem II1-02026-09-19
  • Lvs Ajax1-52026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Feyenoord
  • 2025-09-17Feyenoord 2-0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2025-04-12Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Feyenoord
  • 2024-11-30Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-04-14Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord

Prediction made 2026-10-31 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.