Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Falkirk17%6.01
- Draw20%4.94
- Celtic63%1.58
Double chance
- Falkirk or draw37%2.71
- Falkirk or Celtic80%1.25
- Draw or Celtic83%1.20
Goals
- Over 2.561%1.64
- Under 2.539%2.57
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.73
- No42%2.36
Match in numbers
This season, Falkirk at home and Celtic away
| Falkirk (home) | Celtic (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.8 | 10.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.5 | 3.6 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
- Falkirk have won their last 3 league matches.
- Falkirk: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Celtic: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 1st in the league.
- Our predictions for Falkirk matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Celtic matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
The model makes Celtic clear favourites at 63%. The draw is rated at 20% and a win for Falkirk at 17%.
At home this season Falkirk average 1.20 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Celtic take 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Falkirk manage 4.8 per home game and Celtic 10.4 per away game.
Form lines: Falkirk have won their last 3 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Falkirk 1.08, Celtic 2.07. The single most likely score is 1-2 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.
Celtic won all 5 of the last league meetings between the two.
Most likely scores
- 1-210%
- 1-19%
- 0-29%
- 0-19%
- 1-37%
Falkirk form
- Wat Aberdeen1-02026-10-28
- Wvs Kilmarnock3-02026-10-24
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Dundee1-22026-10-10
- Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-09-19
Celtic form
- Dvs Dundee United2-22026-10-28
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-25
- Wvs Hearts7-12026-10-18
- Wat Motherwell2-02026-10-11
- Lvs Rangers0-12026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-08-29Celtic 2-1 Falkirk
- 2026-04-25Celtic 3-1 Falkirk
- 2026-02-01Celtic 2-0 Falkirk
- 2026-01-14Falkirk 0-1 Celtic
- 2025-10-29Celtic 4-0 Falkirk
Prediction made 2026-11-01 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.