Exeter City vs Crewe Alexandra prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Exeter City
2 - 0Full time
Crewe Alexandra
Exeter CityDrawCrewe Alexandra
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Draw (44%)
Our predictionDrawOpen game
44%Probability
2.29Fair odds
0-0Likely score
0.56-0.51Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Exeter City30%3.34
  • Draw44%2.29
  • Crewe Alexandra27%3.77

Double chance

  • Exeter City or draw73%1.36
  • Exeter City or Crewe Alexandra56%1.77
  • Draw or Crewe Alexandra70%1.43

Goals

  • Over 2.59%10.58
  • Under 2.591%1.10

Both teams to score

  • Yes17%5.87
  • No83%1.21

Match preview

This is the rare match where a draw is the single most likely outcome at 44%, with Exeter City at 30% and Crewe Alexandra at 27%.

Expected goals from the model: Exeter City 0.56, Crewe Alexandra 0.51. The single most likely score is 0-0 (34%), and the chance of three or more goals is 9%.

Exeter City have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).

Crewe Alexandra have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDD).

In their last 1 league meetings Exeter City won 0, Crewe Alexandra won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-034%
  • 1-019%
  • 0-118%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-05%

Exeter City form

DLWWD
  • Dat Colchester United0-02026-10-17
  • Wat Shrewsbury Town1-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Rotherham United1-02026-10-03
  • Lat Bristol Rovers0-12026-09-26
  • Dvs Tranmere Rovers0-02026-09-19

Crewe Alexandra form

DDWWW
  • Wvs Rochdale3-22026-10-17
  • Wat Swindon Town1-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-03
  • Dat Rotherham United1-12026-09-26
  • Dvs Shrewsbury Town1-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2020-03-03Exeter City 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.