Everton vs Coventry City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Everton51%1.98
- Draw27%3.74
- Coventry City23%4.42
Double chance
- Everton or draw77%1.29
- Everton or Coventry City73%1.37
- Draw or Coventry City49%2.03
Goals
- Over 2.545%2.22
- Under 2.555%1.82
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.07
- No52%1.93
Match in numbers
This season, Everton at home and Coventry City away
| Everton (home) | Coventry City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% |
- Everton: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Coventry City: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Our predictions for Everton matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Coventry City matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Everton have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Coventry City at 23%.
At home this season Everton average 1.75 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Coventry City take 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Everton manage 4.5 per home game and Coventry City 2.0 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Everton 1.51, Coventry City 0.97. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 45%.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 2-010%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
Everton form
- Wat Newcastle United1-02026-11-02
- Lat Arsenal0-22026-10-24
- Lvs Chelsea0-22026-10-17
- Dat Hull City2-22026-10-11
- Wvs Ipswich Town1-02026-09-19
Coventry City form
- Wvs Sunderland3-12026-10-31
- Lvs Fulham0-12026-10-24
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur1-32026-10-19
- Wvs Newcastle United4-12026-10-12
- Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-09-19
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-06 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.