Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 31 October 2026

Erzurumspor FK8th · 14 pts
1 - 3Full time
Çorum9th · 13 pts
Erzurumspor FKDrawÇorum
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Çorum to win (38%)
Our predictionÇorum to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.63Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.22-1.38Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Erzurumspor FK34%2.96
  • Draw28%3.55
  • Çorum38%2.63

Double chance

  • Erzurumspor FK or draw62%1.61
  • Erzurumspor FK or Çorum72%1.39
  • Draw or Çorum66%1.51

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.07
  • Under 2.552%1.93

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.11

Match in numbers

This season, Erzurumspor FK at home and Çorum away

Erzurumspor FK (home)Çorum (away)
Matches45
Points per game2.251.40
Goals scored per game1.002.40
Goals conceded per game1.002.20
Shots on target per game3.25.2
Shots on target conceded2.86.6
Clean sheets75%20%
Over 2.5 goals25%80%
Both teams scored0%60%
  • Erzurumspor FK: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Çorum: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Erzurumspor FK matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Çorum matches: 3 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Erzurumspor FK 34%, draw 28%, Çorum 38%.

At home this season Erzurumspor FK average 2.25 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Çorum take 1.40 points per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Erzurumspor FK manage 3.2 per home game and Çorum 5.2 per away game.

Erzurumspor FK are 8th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Erzurumspor FK 1.22, Çorum 1.38. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%

Erzurumspor FK form

LWDWW
  • Wat Gaziantep FK3-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Eyüpspor2-02026-10-17
  • Dat Alanyaspor0-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Samsunspor1-02026-09-20
  • Lat Beşiktaş0-32026-09-11

Çorum form

WLWWL
  • Lat Göztepe0-22026-10-25
  • Wvs Rizespor2-12026-10-16
  • Wat Gaziantep FK3-02026-10-11
  • Lvs Alanyaspor1-22026-09-19
  • Wat Samsunspor5-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-10-31 10:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.