Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 28 October 2026

Dundee4th · 14 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Kilmarnock11th · 8 pts
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
Our predictionDundee to winLean
49%Probability
2.04Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.72-1.34Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Dundee49%2.04
  • Draw24%4.13
  • Kilmarnock27%3.74

Double chance

  • Dundee or draw73%1.37
  • Dundee or Kilmarnock76%1.32
  • Draw or Kilmarnock51%1.96

Goals

  • Over 2.559%1.69
  • Under 2.541%2.44

Both teams to score

  • Yes60%1.66
  • No40%2.52

Match preview

Dundee have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Kilmarnock at 27%.

Expected goals from the model: Dundee 1.72, Kilmarnock 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 59%.

Dundee have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).

Kilmarnock have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).

In the table Dundee are 4th with 14 points and Kilmarnock 11th with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings Dundee won 1, Kilmarnock won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-27%
  • 2-07%

Dundee form

DLWWD
  • Dvs Rangers2-22026-10-17
  • Wat Falkirk2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Motherwell2-12026-09-19
  • Lat Hearts1-22026-09-06
  • Dvs St. Johnstone1-12026-09-02

Kilmarnock form

DWDLW
  • Wvs Motherwell3-22026-10-17
  • Lat Rangers1-32026-10-10
  • Dvs Hearts1-12026-09-19
  • Wat Hibernian1-02026-09-15
  • Dat Aberdeen0-02026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-05-12Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee
  • 2026-04-11Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
  • 2025-12-30Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-08-23Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee
  • 2025-05-10Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.