Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction
Dundee4th · 14 pts
Kilmarnock11th · 8 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Dundee49%2.04
- Draw24%4.13
- Kilmarnock27%3.74
Double chance
- Dundee or draw73%1.37
- Dundee or Kilmarnock76%1.32
- Draw or Kilmarnock51%1.96
Goals
- Over 2.559%1.69
- Under 2.541%2.44
Both teams to score
- Yes60%1.66
- No40%2.52
Match preview
Dundee have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Kilmarnock at 27%.
Expected goals from the model: Dundee 1.72, Kilmarnock 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 59%.
Dundee have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).
Kilmarnock have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).
In the table Dundee are 4th with 14 points and Kilmarnock 11th with 8.
In their last 5 league meetings Dundee won 1, Kilmarnock won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-27%
- 2-07%
Dundee form
- Dvs Rangers2-22026-10-17
- Wat Falkirk2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Motherwell2-12026-09-19
- Lat Hearts1-22026-09-06
- Dvs St. Johnstone1-12026-09-02
Kilmarnock form
- Wvs Motherwell3-22026-10-17
- Lat Rangers1-32026-10-10
- Dvs Hearts1-12026-09-19
- Wat Hibernian1-02026-09-15
- Dat Aberdeen0-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-05-12Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee
- 2026-04-11Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
- 2025-12-30Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
- 2025-08-23Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee
- 2025-05-10Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee
More Scottish Premiership predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.