Dundee United vs Motherwell prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Dundee United44%2.28
- Draw26%3.91
- Motherwell30%3.28
Double chance
- Dundee United or draw70%1.44
- Dundee United or Motherwell74%1.34
- Draw or Motherwell56%1.78
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.74
- Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to score
- Yes60%1.68
- No40%2.48
Match in numbers
This season, Dundee United at home and Motherwell away
| Dundee United (home) | Motherwell (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.83 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.20 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.2 | 5.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.4 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 83% |
- Dundee United are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
- Dundee United: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 9th in the league.
- Motherwell: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Our predictions for Dundee United matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Motherwell matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Dundee United 44%, draw 26%, Motherwell 30%.
At home this season Dundee United average 1.60 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Motherwell take 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Dundee United manage 6.2 per home game and Motherwell 5.8 per away game.
Form lines: Dundee United are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
Motherwell sit 9th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Dundee United 1.60, Motherwell 1.39. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.
In their last 5 league meetings Dundee United won 1, Motherwell won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-28%
- 0-17%
Dundee United form
- Dat Celtic2-22026-10-28
- Wvs Aberdeen3-22026-10-24
- Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Hibernian1-02026-10-10
- Wat St. Mirren3-02026-09-19
Motherwell form
- Wvs St. Mirren1-02026-10-31
- Dat St. Johnstone2-22026-10-28
- Lvs Hearts0-22026-10-25
- Lat Kilmarnock2-32026-10-17
- Lvs Celtic0-22026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-09-02Motherwell 3-0 Dundee United
- 2026-02-28Motherwell 2-0 Dundee United
- 2025-12-13Dundee United 0-0 Motherwell
- 2025-10-29Motherwell 2-0 Dundee United
- 2025-02-22Dundee United 1-0 Motherwell
Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.