Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Deportivo de La Coruña vs Osasuna prediction

Spain · La Liga · 02 November 2026

2 - 1Full time
Osasuna15th · 11 pts
Deportivo de La CoruñaDrawOsasuna
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Deportivo de La Coruña to win (52%)
Our predictionDeportivo de La Coruña to winLean
52%Probability
1.93Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.59-1.03Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Deportivo de La Coruña52%1.93
  • Draw26%3.88
  • Osasuna22%4.45

Double chance

  • Deportivo de La Coruña or draw78%1.29
  • Deportivo de La Coruña or Osasuna74%1.35
  • Draw or Osasuna48%2.07

Goals

  • Over 2.549%2.05
  • Under 2.551%1.95

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.96
  • No49%2.04

Match in numbers

This season, Deportivo de La Coruña at home and Osasuna away

Deportivo de La Coruña (home)Osasuna (away)
Matches55
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored per game1.201.20
Goals conceded per game1.003.40
Shots on target per game4.43.6
Shots on target conceded4.86.8
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals20%80%
Both teams scored80%60%
  • Deportivo de La Coruña have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • Deportivo de La Coruña: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Osasuna: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Deportivo de La Coruña matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Osasuna matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Deportivo de La Coruña have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Osasuna at 22%.

At home this season Deportivo de La Coruña average 1.20 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Osasuna take 0.60 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Deportivo de La Coruña manage 4.4 per home game and Osasuna 3.6 per away game.

Form lines: Deportivo de La Coruña have gone 6 league matches without a win.

Deportivo de La Coruña sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 8th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Deportivo de La Coruña 1.59, Osasuna 1.03. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-18%

Deportivo de La Coruña form

LDLDL
  • Lat Atletico Madrid0-12026-10-24
  • Dvs Levante1-12026-10-16
  • Lat Real Sociedad2-32026-10-11
  • Dvs Real Betis1-12026-09-20
  • Lvs Sevilla0-12026-09-16

Osasuna form

LDLWL
  • Lat Sevilla0-22026-10-26
  • Wvs Racing de Santander2-02026-10-18
  • Lat Real Betis2-52026-10-11
  • Dvs Rayo Vallecano1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Atletico Madrid0-42026-09-16

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-02 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.