Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Crawley Town
2 - 3Full time
Shrewsbury Town
Crawley TownDrawShrewsbury Town
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Crawley Town to win (40%)
Our predictionCrawley Town to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.47Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.23-1.02Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Crawley Town40%2.47
  • Draw29%3.51
  • Shrewsbury Town31%3.22

Double chance

  • Crawley Town or draw69%1.45
  • Crawley Town or Shrewsbury Town71%1.40
  • Draw or Shrewsbury Town60%1.68

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.57
  • Under 2.561%1.64

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.23
  • No55%1.82

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Crawley Town 40%, draw 29%, Shrewsbury Town 31%.

Expected goals from the model: Crawley Town 1.23, Shrewsbury Town 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.

Crawley Town have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLL).

Shrewsbury Town have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDD).

In their last 4 league meetings Crawley Town won 1, Shrewsbury Town won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-18%

Crawley Town form

LLLDL
  • Lat Salford City1-22026-10-17
  • Dvs Chesterfield2-22026-10-10
  • Lat Grimsby Town0-22026-09-19
  • Lvs Cheltenham Town1-32026-09-12
  • Lat Accrington Stanley2-32026-09-05

Shrewsbury Town form

DDWLW
  • Wvs Bristol Rovers1-02026-10-17
  • Lvs Exeter City0-12026-10-10
  • Wat Grimsby Town2-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Colchester United2-22026-09-26
  • Dat Crewe Alexandra1-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Crawley Town 0-0 Shrewsbury Town
  • 2025-10-18Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Crawley Town
  • 2025-05-03Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Crawley Town
  • 2024-10-12Crawley Town 3-5 Shrewsbury Town

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.