Çorum vs Fenerbahçe prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Çorum30%3.32
- Draw22%4.60
- Fenerbahçe48%2.08
Double chance
- Çorum or draw52%1.93
- Çorum or Fenerbahçe78%1.28
- Draw or Fenerbahçe70%1.43
Goals
- Over 2.570%1.43
- Under 2.530%3.32
Both teams to score
- Yes70%1.44
- No31%3.28
Match in numbers
This season, Çorum at home and Fenerbahçe away
| Çorum (home) | Fenerbahçe (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
- Çorum: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Fenerbahçe: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Our predictions for Çorum matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Fenerbahçe matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Fenerbahçe have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Çorum at 30%.
At home this season Çorum average 1.50 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Fenerbahçe take 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Çorum manage 5.0 per home game and Fenerbahçe 6.0 per away game.
Fenerbahçe sit 8th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 2nd in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Çorum 1.71, Fenerbahçe 1.90. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 70%.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-15%
Çorum form
- Wat Erzurumspor FK3-12026-10-31
- Lat Göztepe0-22026-10-25
- Wvs Rizespor2-12026-10-16
- Wat Gaziantep FK3-02026-10-11
- Lvs Alanyaspor1-22026-09-19
Fenerbahçe form
- Lvs Göztepe1-22026-10-31
- Lat Galatasaray1-22026-10-26
- Wvs Alanyaspor3-02026-10-17
- Wat Rizespor3-02026-10-10
- Wvs Eyüpspor8-02026-09-20
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-08 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.