Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Como82%1.23
- Draw12%8.32
- Venezia6%15.44
Double chance
- Como or draw94%1.07
- Como or Venezia88%1.14
- Draw or Venezia18%5.41
Goals
- Over 2.559%1.70
- Under 2.541%2.43
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.07
- No52%1.94
Match in numbers
This season, Como at home and Venezia away
| Como (home) | Venezia (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.33 | 2.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.0 | 7.0 |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
- Como have won their last 3 league matches.
- Como: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Venezia: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Our predictions for Como matches: 4 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Venezia matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Como's match to lose. The model gives them 82%, with the draw at 12% and Venezia at 6%.
At home this season Como average 2.33 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 0.3. Away from home Venezia take 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Como manage 5.7 per home game and Venezia 3.8 per away game.
Form lines: Como have won their last 3 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Como 2.28, Venezia 0.78. The single most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 59%.
Both of their last league meetings ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-012%
- 1-011%
- 2-110%
- 3-09%
- 1-18%
Como form
- Wat Torino3-12026-10-27
- Wvs Sassuolo2-02026-10-24
- Wat Fiorentina3-12026-10-18
- Dvs Roma0-02026-10-11
- Lat Frosinone0-22026-09-20
Venezia form
- Lvs Inter Milan0-22026-10-28
- Lat Genoa0-12026-10-25
- Wvs Napoli1-02026-10-17
- Lat Atalanta1-32026-10-12
- Lvs Lazio0-22026-09-19
Head to head
- 2025-03-08Como 1-1 Venezia
- 2024-12-08Venezia 2-2 Como
Prediction made 2026-11-01 11:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.