Chesterfield vs Colchester United prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Chesterfield
1 - 1Full time
Colchester United
ChesterfieldDrawColchester United
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Chesterfield to win (46%)
Our predictionChesterfield to winLean
46%Probability
2.15Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.42-0.98Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Chesterfield46%2.15
  • Draw27%3.72
  • Colchester United27%3.76

Double chance

  • Chesterfield or draw73%1.36
  • Chesterfield or Colchester United73%1.37
  • Draw or Colchester United54%1.87

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.32
  • Under 2.557%1.76

Both teams to score

  • Yes47%2.12
  • No53%1.89

Match preview

Chesterfield have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Colchester United at 27%.

Expected goals from the model: Chesterfield 1.42, Colchester United 0.98. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

Chesterfield have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWLW).

Colchester United have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLDDD).

In their last 4 league meetings Chesterfield won 1, Colchester United won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%

Chesterfield form

WLWDL
  • Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Crawley Town2-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Tranmere Rovers4-22026-10-03
  • Lat Cheltenham Town1-22026-09-26
  • Wvs York City2-02026-09-19

Colchester United form

DDDLD
  • Dvs Exeter City0-02026-10-17
  • Lat Newport County0-12026-10-10
  • Dat Shrewsbury Town2-22026-09-26
  • Dvs Cheltenham Town1-12026-09-19
  • Dvs Crewe Alexandra1-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-03-03Chesterfield 3-0 Colchester United
  • 2025-10-04Colchester United 6-2 Chesterfield
  • 2025-03-04Colchester United 1-0 Chesterfield
  • 2024-10-22Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester United

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.