Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Cheltenham Town
4 - 2Full time
Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham TownDrawFleetwood Town
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Cheltenham Town to win (38%)
Our predictionCheltenham Town to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.67Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.37-1.35Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Cheltenham Town38%2.67
  • Draw26%3.87
  • Fleetwood Town37%2.73

Double chance

  • Cheltenham Town or draw63%1.58
  • Cheltenham Town or Fleetwood Town74%1.35
  • Draw or Fleetwood Town62%1.60

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.96
  • Under 2.549%2.04

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.82
  • No45%2.22

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Cheltenham Town 38%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 37%.

Expected goals from the model: Cheltenham Town 1.37, Fleetwood Town 1.35. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Cheltenham Town have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLWD).

Fleetwood Town have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WDLLL).

In their last 5 league meetings Cheltenham Town won 2, Fleetwood Town won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-28%

Cheltenham Town form

DWLLL
  • Lat Oldham Athletic1-42026-10-17
  • Lvs Salford City0-22026-10-10
  • Lat Accrington Stanley0-22026-10-03
  • Wvs Chesterfield2-12026-09-26
  • Dat Colchester United1-12026-09-19

Fleetwood Town form

LLLDW
  • Wvs Rotherham United2-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Salford City0-12026-10-03
  • Lvs Rochdale1-22026-09-26
  • Lat Barnet1-32026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-03-10Fleetwood Town 2-2 Cheltenham Town
  • 2025-10-04Cheltenham Town 2-0 Fleetwood Town
  • 2025-02-08Fleetwood Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town
  • 2024-09-28Cheltenham Town 0-2 Fleetwood Town
  • 2024-03-29Fleetwood Town 1-2 Cheltenham Town

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.