Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Charlton Athletic32%3.12
- Draw27%3.66
- Bolton Wanderers41%2.46
Double chance
- Charlton Athletic or draw59%1.68
- Charlton Athletic or Bolton Wanderers73%1.38
- Draw or Bolton Wanderers68%1.47
Goals
- Over 2.552%1.94
- Under 2.548%2.06
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.23
Match in numbers
This season, Charlton Athletic at home and Bolton Wanderers away
| Charlton Athletic (home) | Bolton Wanderers (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.83 | 1.83 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
- Charlton Athletic have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Charlton Athletic: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Bolton Wanderers: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 21st in the league.
- Our predictions for Charlton Athletic matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Bolton Wanderers matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Charlton Athletic 32%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 41%.
At home this season Charlton Athletic average 1.50 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Bolton Wanderers take 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Charlton Athletic manage 3.2 per home game and Bolton Wanderers 4.5 per away game.
Form lines: Charlton Athletic have lost their last 3 league matches.
Bolton Wanderers sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 13th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Charlton Athletic 1.29, Bolton Wanderers 1.44. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.
In their last 5 league meetings Charlton Athletic won 2, Bolton Wanderers won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-29%
- 1-09%
- 2-18%
Charlton Athletic form
- Lat Middlesbrough0-32026-10-31
- Lvs Norwich City1-32026-10-24
- Lat Watford0-22026-10-17
- Dat Burnley2-22026-10-13
- Dvs Bristol City1-12026-10-10
Bolton Wanderers form
- Lvs Bristol City2-32026-10-31
- Lvs Middlesbrough1-52026-10-23
- Dat Southampton0-02026-10-17
- Wat Wolverhampton Wanderers3-12026-10-13
- Lvs Stoke City1-22026-10-10
Head to head
- 2025-01-21Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Charlton Athletic
- 2024-08-24Charlton Athletic 2-0 Bolton Wanderers
- 2024-02-17Bolton Wanderers 3-3 Charlton Athletic
- 2023-10-28Charlton Athletic 0-2 Bolton Wanderers
- 2023-01-28Charlton Athletic 1-2 Bolton Wanderers
Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.