Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Celtic85%1.18
- Draw10%10.41
- Kilmarnock5%18.31
Double chance
- Celtic or draw95%1.06
- Celtic or Kilmarnock90%1.11
- Draw or Kilmarnock15%6.64
Goals
- Over 2.576%1.31
- Under 2.524%4.24
Both teams to score
- Yes56%1.79
- No44%2.27
Match in numbers
This season, Celtic at home and Kilmarnock away
| Celtic (home) | Kilmarnock (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.6 | 3.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
- Celtic: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 1st in the league.
- Kilmarnock: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Our predictions for Celtic matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Kilmarnock matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Celtic go in as strong favourites: 85% to win, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Kilmarnock.
At home this season Celtic average 2.17 points and 2.5 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Kilmarnock take 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Celtic manage 6.6 per home game and Kilmarnock 3.8 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Celtic 3.14, Kilmarnock 0.88. The single most likely score is 3-0 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 76%.
Celtic won all 5 of the last league meetings between the two.
Most likely scores
- 3-09%
- 2-09%
- 3-18%
- 2-18%
- 4-07%
Celtic form
- Lat Falkirk0-22026-11-01
- Dvs Dundee United2-22026-10-28
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-25
- Wvs Hearts7-12026-10-18
- Wat Motherwell2-02026-10-11
Kilmarnock form
- Dvs St. Johnstone2-22026-10-31
- Lat Dundee1-32026-10-28
- Lat Falkirk0-32026-10-24
- Wvs Motherwell3-22026-10-17
- Lat Rangers1-32026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-08-09Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic
- 2026-02-15Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic
- 2025-11-09Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock
- 2025-09-14Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic
- 2025-04-12Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock
Prediction made 2026-11-08 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.