Celtic vs Dundee United prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 28 October 2026

Celtic1st · 24 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Dundee United6th · 12 pts
CelticDrawDundee United
Our predictionCeltic to winStrong pick
81%Probability
1.24Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.84-0.95Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Celtic81%1.24
  • Draw12%8.47
  • Dundee United8%13.15

Double chance

  • Celtic or draw92%1.08
  • Celtic or Dundee United88%1.13
  • Draw or Dundee United19%5.15

Goals

  • Over 2.573%1.37
  • Under 2.527%3.70

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.73
  • No42%2.37

Match preview

The model makes Celtic clear favourites, with a 81% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 12% and a win for Dundee United at 8%.

Expected goals from the model: Celtic 2.84, Dundee United 0.95. The single most likely score is 2-0 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 73%.

Celtic have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).

Dundee United have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWDL).

In the table Celtic are 1st with 24 points and Dundee United 6th with 12.

In their last 5 league meetings Celtic won 3, Dundee United won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 3-09%
  • 3-18%
  • 1-07%

Celtic form

WWLWW
  • Wvs Hearts7-12026-10-18
  • Wat Motherwell2-02026-10-11
  • Lvs Rangers0-12026-09-20
  • Wat St. Johnstone1-02026-09-09
  • Wat St. Mirren2-12026-09-05

Dundee United form

LDWWD
  • Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Hibernian1-02026-10-10
  • Wat St. Mirren3-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Falkirk1-12026-09-05
  • Lat Motherwell0-32026-09-02

Head to head

  • 2026-03-22Dundee United 2-0 Celtic
  • 2026-01-10Celtic 4-0 Dundee United
  • 2025-12-17Dundee United 2-1 Celtic
  • 2025-04-26Dundee United 0-5 Celtic
  • 2025-02-15Celtic 3-0 Dundee United

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.