Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Beşiktaş to win (48%)
Our predictionBeşiktaş to winLean
48%Probability
2.08Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.33-1.08Expected goals
European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Celtic28%3.56
- Draw24%4.19
- Beşiktaş48%2.08
Double chance
- Celtic or draw52%1.92
- Celtic or Beşiktaş76%1.31
- Draw or Beşiktaş72%1.39
Goals
- Over 2.566%1.51
- Under 2.534%2.97
Both teams to score
- Yes60%1.68
- No40%2.48
Match preview
Beşiktaş have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Celtic at 28%.
Expected goals from the model: Celtic 2.33, Beşiktaş 1.08. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 66%.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 1-18%
- 1-08%
- 3-18%
Celtic form
WLWDL
- Lat Falkirk0-22026-11-01
- Dvs Dundee United2-22026-10-28
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-25
- Lvs Celta Vigo1-22026-10-22
- Wvs Hearts7-12026-10-18
Beşiktaş form
WLDWD
- Dat Kasımpaşa2-22026-11-01
- Wvs İstanbul Başakşehir2-02026-10-26
- Dvs Crystal Palace2-22026-10-22
- Lat Trabzonspor0-22026-10-19
- Wat Hoffenheim3-22026-10-15
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.