Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction

Europe · Europa League · 05 November 2026

Celta VigoDrawUnion Saint-Gilloise
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Union Saint-Gilloise to win (49%)
Our predictionUnion Saint-Gilloise to winLean
49%Probability
2.03Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.08-1.15Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Celta Vigo26%3.88
  • Draw25%3.99
  • Union Saint-Gilloise49%2.03

Double chance

  • Celta Vigo or draw51%1.97
  • Celta Vigo or Union Saint-Gilloise75%1.33
  • Draw or Union Saint-Gilloise74%1.35

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.59
  • Under 2.561%1.63

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.23
  • No55%1.81

Match preview

A slight lean towards Union Saint-Gilloise (49%), though Celta Vigo win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.

Current runs: Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in 12 league matches.

The model expects 1.08 goals from Celta Vigo and 1.15 from Union Saint-Gilloise; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 45%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-113%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-010%
  • 1-28%

Celta Vigo form

LWWDL
  • Lat Rayo Vallecano0-32026-10-31
  • Dvs Real Betis0-02026-10-25
  • Wat Celtic2-12026-10-22
  • Wvs Alavés2-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Juventus1-22026-10-15

Union Saint-Gilloise form

DDWWW
  • Wat Beveren2-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Cercle Brugge5-22026-10-25
  • Wvs Hapoel Be'er Sheva4-02026-10-22
  • Dvs Real Sociedad1-12026-10-15
  • Dvs OH Leuven1-12026-10-11

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.