Cardiff City vs West Ham United prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Cardiff City28%3.59
- Draw21%4.73
- West Ham United51%1.96
Double chance
- Cardiff City or draw49%2.04
- Cardiff City or West Ham United79%1.27
- Draw or West Ham United72%1.39
Goals
- Over 2.576%1.31
- Under 2.524%4.25
Both teams to score
- Yes73%1.37
- No27%3.68
Match in numbers
This season, Cardiff City at home and West Ham United away
| Cardiff City (home) | West Ham United (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.17 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.0 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 67% |
- West Ham United have scored in 15 straight league matches.
- Cardiff City: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 24th in the league.
- West Ham United: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 8th in the league.
- Our predictions for Cardiff City matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for West Ham United matches: 0 of 4 correct.
Match preview
West Ham United have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Cardiff City at 28%.
At home this season Cardiff City average 2.00 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home West Ham United take 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Cardiff City manage 7.0 per home game and West Ham United 5.3 per away game.
Form lines: West Ham United have scored in 15 straight league matches.
West Ham United sit 8th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 1st in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Cardiff City 1.63, West Ham United 2.39. The single most likely score is 1-2 (8%), and the chance of three or more goals is 76%.
Most likely scores
- 1-28%
- 1-17%
- 2-27%
- 1-37%
- 2-16%
Cardiff City form
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers0-32026-10-31
- Wvs Birmingham City1-02026-10-24
- Dat Middlesbrough2-22026-10-17
- Wvs Watford5-12026-10-13
- Lat Blackburn Rovers1-22026-10-10
West Ham United form
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion1-32026-10-31
- Lvs Southampton2-32026-10-24
- Wat Swansea City1-02026-10-17
- Wat Lincoln City6-02026-10-14
- Dvs Queens Park Rangers1-12026-10-09
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.