Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Cambuur vs PSV prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 08 November 2026

Cambuur10th · 15 pts
2 - 5Full time
PSV3rd · 23 pts
CambuurDrawPSV
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: PSV to win (68%)
Our predictionPSV to winStrong pick
68%Probability
1.48Fair odds
1-2Likely score
1.53-2.34Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Cambuur17%5.77
  • Draw15%6.65
  • PSV68%1.48

Double chance

  • Cambuur or draw32%3.09
  • Cambuur or PSV85%1.18
  • Draw or PSV83%1.21

Goals

  • Over 2.574%1.35
  • Under 2.526%3.87

Both teams to score

  • Yes71%1.42
  • No29%3.40

Match in numbers

This season, Cambuur at home and PSV away

Cambuur (home)PSV (away)
Matches65
Points per game1.171.80
Goals scored per game2.002.80
Goals conceded per game2.501.60
Shots on target per game4.87.0
Shots on target conceded5.23.2
Clean sheets33%0%
Over 2.5 goals100%100%
Both teams scored50%100%
  • Cambuur are unbeaten in 7 league matches.
  • PSV have scored in 41 straight league matches.
  • Cambuur: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 17th in the league.
  • PSV: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 4th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Cambuur matches: 3 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for PSV matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

On the numbers this is PSV's match to lose. The model gives them 68%, with the draw at 15% and Cambuur at 17%.

At home this season Cambuur average 1.17 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 2.5. Away from home PSV take 1.80 points per game, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.8 per game for Cambuur at home and 7.0 for PSV on the road.

Current runs: Cambuur are unbeaten in 7 league matches; PSV have scored in 41 straight league matches.

The model expects 1.53 goals from Cambuur and 2.34 from PSV; 1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 71%.

In their last 4 league meetings Cambuur won 1 and PSV won 3.

Most likely scores

  • 1-29%
  • 1-17%
  • 1-37%
  • 2-27%
  • 2-16%

Cambuur form

DWDWW
  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles4-02026-10-31
  • Wat Willem II6-12026-10-24
  • Dvs AZ2-22026-10-18
  • Wat PEC Zwolle1-02026-10-11
  • Dat ADO Den Haag1-12026-09-19

PSV form

LWLDW
  • Wvs Willem II7-02026-10-31
  • Dvs Feyenoord1-12026-10-25
  • Lat ADO Den Haag1-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Heerenveen2-02026-10-09
  • Lat Twente2-32026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2023-03-12PSV 5-2 Cambuur
  • 2022-10-01Cambuur 3-0 PSV
  • 2022-04-23Cambuur 1-2 PSV
  • 2021-08-21PSV 4-1 Cambuur

Prediction made 2026-11-08 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.