Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Cagliari31%3.24
- Draw23%4.34
- Frosinone46%2.17
Double chance
- Cagliari or draw54%1.86
- Cagliari or Frosinone77%1.30
- Draw or Frosinone69%1.45
Goals
- Over 2.571%1.41
- Under 2.529%3.42
Both teams to score
- Yes69%1.45
- No31%3.21
Match in numbers
This season, Cagliari at home and Frosinone away
| Cagliari (home) | Frosinone (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.0 | 5.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
- Cagliari have lost their last 4 league matches.
- Cagliari: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Frosinone: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 18th in the league.
- Our predictions for Cagliari matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Frosinone matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Frosinone (46%), though Cagliari win 31% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 23%.
At home this season Cagliari average 1.00 points and 0.5 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Frosinone take 1.25 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.0 per game for Cagliari at home and 5.8 for Frosinone on the road.
Current runs: Cagliari have lost their last 4 league matches.
The model expects 1.53 goals from Cagliari and 2.13 from Frosinone; 1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 69%.
In their last 2 league meetings Cagliari won 1 and Frosinone won 1.
Most likely scores
- 1-29%
- 1-18%
- 2-27%
- 2-16%
- 1-36%
Cagliari form
- Lat Lazio1-22026-11-01
- Lat Roma2-42026-10-27
- Lvs Bologna0-22026-10-24
- Lat Monza0-42026-10-19
- Dvs Juventus1-12026-10-11
Frosinone form
- Wvs Torino2-02026-11-01
- Wvs Lecce5-12026-10-29
- Dat Atalanta4-42026-10-25
- Wvs Sassuolo4-22026-10-16
- Lat Napoli0-32026-10-10
Head to head
- 2024-01-21Frosinone 3-1 Cagliari
- 2023-10-29Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone
Prediction made 2026-11-07 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.