Bristol Rovers vs Salford City prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2Full time
Salford City
Bristol RoversDrawSalford City
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Salford City to win (39%)
Our predictionSalford City to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.54Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.25-1.36Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bristol Rovers34%2.91
  • Draw26%3.79
  • Salford City39%2.54

Double chance

  • Bristol Rovers or draw61%1.65
  • Bristol Rovers or Salford City74%1.36
  • Draw or Salford City66%1.52

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.07
  • Under 2.552%1.93

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.11

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Bristol Rovers 34%, draw 26%, Salford City 39%.

Expected goals from the model: Bristol Rovers 1.25, Salford City 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

Bristol Rovers have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLWL).

Salford City have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWW).

In their last 4 league meetings Bristol Rovers won 2, Salford City won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%

Bristol Rovers form

LWLLL
  • Lat Shrewsbury Town0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Barnet1-32026-10-10
  • Lat Crewe Alexandra1-32026-10-03
  • Wvs Exeter City1-02026-09-26
  • Lat Gillingham0-32026-09-19

Salford City form

WWWWW
  • Wvs Crawley Town2-12026-10-17
  • Wat Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Fleetwood Town1-02026-10-03
  • Wat Oldham Athletic4-12026-09-26
  • Wvs Swindon Town1-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-01-24Salford City 1-0 Bristol Rovers
  • 2025-09-27Bristol Rovers 2-1 Salford City
  • 2022-04-15Bristol Rovers 1-0 Salford City
  • 2021-11-23Salford City 1-1 Bristol Rovers

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.