Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction

England · Championship · 04 November 2026

Bristol City15th · 18 pts
1 - 2Full time
Bristol CityDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Wolverhampton Wanderers to win (39%)
Our predictionWolverhampton Wanderers to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.56Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.21-1.40Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bristol City33%3.05
  • Draw28%3.56
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers39%2.56

Double chance

  • Bristol City or draw61%1.64
  • Bristol City or Wolverhampton Wanderers72%1.39
  • Draw or Wolverhampton Wanderers67%1.49

Goals

  • Over 2.549%2.06
  • Under 2.551%1.94

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.12

Match in numbers

This season, Bristol City at home and Wolverhampton Wanderers away

Bristol City (home)Wolverhampton Wanderers (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.001.67
Goals scored per game0.501.67
Goals conceded per game1.001.50
Shots on target per game3.7-
Shots on target conceded2.0-
Clean sheets17%17%
Over 2.5 goals17%67%
Both teams scored17%67%
  • Bristol City: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 14th in the league.
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 3rd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Bristol City matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Wolverhampton Wanderers matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Bristol City 33%, draw 28%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 39%.

At home this season Bristol City average 1.00 points and 0.5 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Wolverhampton Wanderers take 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5.

Expected goals from the model: Bristol City 1.21, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.40. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%

Bristol City form

DLLDW
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers3-22026-10-31
  • Dat Stoke City0-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Sheffield United0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Blackburn Rovers0-12026-10-13
  • Dat Charlton Athletic1-12026-10-10

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

LWDWW
  • Wvs Cardiff City3-02026-10-31
  • Wvs Watford1-02026-10-24
  • Dvs Portsmouth1-12026-10-20
  • Wat Burnley2-12026-10-16
  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers1-32026-10-13

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.