Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Bristol City vs Norwich City prediction

England · Championship · 07 November 2026

Bristol City15th · 18 pts
0 - 5Full time
Norwich City12th · 18 pts
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Bristol City to win (38%)
Our predictionBristol City to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.61Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.43-1.33Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bristol City38%2.61
  • Draw27%3.64
  • Norwich City34%2.92

Double chance

  • Bristol City or draw66%1.52
  • Bristol City or Norwich City73%1.38
  • Draw or Norwich City62%1.62

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.92
  • Under 2.548%2.08

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.80
  • No44%2.25

Match in numbers

This season, Bristol City at home and Norwich City away

Bristol City (home)Norwich City (away)
Matches77
Points per game0.861.29
Goals scored per game0.572.00
Goals conceded per game1.141.71
Shots on target per game3.75.6
Shots on target conceded2.04.6
Clean sheets14%14%
Over 2.5 goals29%86%
Both teams scored29%57%
  • Norwich City have won their last 3 league matches.
  • Bristol City: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 14th in the league.
  • Norwich City: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Bristol City matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Norwich City matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 38% for Bristol City, 27% for the draw and 34% for Norwich City.

At home this season Bristol City average 0.86 points and 0.6 goals per game, conceding 1.1. Away from home Norwich City take 1.29 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.7 per game for Bristol City at home and 5.6 for Norwich City on the road.

Current runs: Norwich City have won their last 3 league matches.

Norwich City sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.43 goals from Bristol City and 1.33 from Norwich City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 56%.

In their last 5 league meetings Bristol City won 3, Norwich City won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%

Bristol City form

LLDWL
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-22026-11-04
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers3-22026-10-31
  • Dat Stoke City0-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Sheffield United0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Blackburn Rovers0-12026-10-13

Norwich City form

LLWWW
  • Wat Derby County4-02026-11-03
  • Wvs Watford3-22026-10-31
  • Wat Charlton Athletic3-12026-10-24
  • Lvs Portsmouth0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Southampton0-12026-10-14

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Bristol City 2-4 Norwich City
  • 2025-10-18Norwich City 0-1 Bristol City
  • 2025-03-14Bristol City 2-1 Norwich City
  • 2024-11-09Norwich City 0-2 Bristol City
  • 2024-04-20Norwich City 1-1 Bristol City

Prediction made 2026-11-07 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.