Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Brighton & Hove Albion57%1.76
- Draw23%4.31
- Brentford20%5.02
Double chance
- Brighton & Hove Albion or draw80%1.25
- Brighton & Hove Albion or Brentford77%1.30
- Draw or Brentford43%2.32
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.77
- Under 2.544%2.30
Both teams to score
- Yes56%1.80
- No44%2.26
Match in numbers
This season, Brighton & Hove Albion at home and Brentford away
| Brighton & Hove Albion (home) | Brentford (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.2 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.0 | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 100% |
- Brentford have scored in 11 straight league matches.
- Brighton & Hove Albion: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Brentford: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Our predictions for Brighton & Hove Albion matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Brentford matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Brighton & Hove Albion (57%), though Brentford win 20% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 23%.
At home this season Brighton & Hove Albion average 2.50 points and 3.2 goals per game, conceding 0.2. Away from home Brentford take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.2 per game for Brighton & Hove Albion at home and 4.2 for Brentford on the road.
Current runs: Brentford have scored in 11 straight league matches.
Brentford are 7th in the table while the model ranks them only 14th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.86 goals from Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.08 from Brentford; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 56%.
In their last 5 league meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 2, Brentford won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 3-16%
Brighton & Hove Albion form
- Wat Manchester City1-02026-10-31
- Lat Liverpool0-22026-10-25
- Wvs Crystal Palace5-02026-10-18
- Wat Sunderland2-02026-10-10
- Wvs Arsenal3-02026-09-19
Brentford form
- Wvs Nottingham Forest2-02026-10-31
- Dat Hull City1-12026-10-25
- Lvs Liverpool1-22026-10-17
- Dat Aston Villa2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Chelsea3-02026-09-18
Head to head
- 2026-02-21Brentford 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
- 2025-11-22Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Brentford
- 2025-04-19Brentford 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
- 2024-12-27Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 Brentford
- 2024-04-03Brentford 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction made 2026-11-08 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.