Borussia M'gladbach vs Paderborn prediction
Paderborn16th · 5 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Borussia M'gladbach57%1.75
- Draw22%4.47
- Paderborn20%4.89
Double chance
- Borussia M'gladbach or draw80%1.26
- Borussia M'gladbach or Paderborn78%1.29
- Draw or Paderborn43%2.33
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.66
- Under 2.540%2.51
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.70
- No41%2.43
Match in numbers
This season, Borussia M'gladbach at home and Paderborn away
| Borussia M'gladbach (home) | Paderborn (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 8.7 | 7.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
- Borussia M'gladbach: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Paderborn: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 17th in the league.
Match preview
Borussia M'gladbach have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Paderborn at 20%.
At home this season Borussia M'gladbach average 0.00 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 3.3. Away from home Paderborn take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Borussia M'gladbach manage 5.3 per home game and Paderborn 1.3 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Borussia M'gladbach 1.94, Paderborn 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.
They last met in the league on 2020-06-20: Paderborn 1-3 Borussia M'gladbach.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 3-16%
Borussia M'gladbach form
- Wat Stuttgart3-22026-10-23
- Lvs Hoffenheim1-22026-10-18
- Lat Köln1-22026-10-11
- Lvs Mainz 053-42026-09-19
- Lat Freiburg0-52026-09-12
Paderborn form
- Dat Werder Bremen2-22026-10-17
- Lvs Stuttgart0-22026-10-10
- Wvs Hoffenheim3-12026-09-20
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0-32026-09-12
- Lvs Freiburg0-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2020-06-20Paderborn 1-3 Borussia M'gladbach
More Bundesliga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.