Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Borussia M'gladbach vs Paderborn prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 31 October 2026

Borussia M'gladbach18th · 3 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Paderborn16th · 5 pts
Borussia M'gladbachDrawPaderborn
Our predictionBorussia M'gladbach to winLean
57%Probability
1.75Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.94-1.17Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Borussia M'gladbach57%1.75
  • Draw22%4.47
  • Paderborn20%4.89

Double chance

  • Borussia M'gladbach or draw80%1.26
  • Borussia M'gladbach or Paderborn78%1.29
  • Draw or Paderborn43%2.33

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.51

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.70
  • No41%2.43

Match in numbers

This season, Borussia M'gladbach at home and Paderborn away

Borussia M'gladbach (home)Paderborn (away)
Matches33
Points per game0.000.67
Goals scored per game2.330.67
Goals conceded per game3.331.67
Shots on target per game5.31.3
Shots on target conceded8.77.7
Clean sheets0%33%
Over 2.5 goals100%67%
Both teams scored100%33%
  • Borussia M'gladbach: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Paderborn: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 17th in the league.

Match preview

Borussia M'gladbach have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Paderborn at 20%.

At home this season Borussia M'gladbach average 0.00 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 3.3. Away from home Paderborn take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Borussia M'gladbach manage 5.3 per home game and Paderborn 1.3 per away game.

Expected goals from the model: Borussia M'gladbach 1.94, Paderborn 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

They last met in the league on 2020-06-20: Paderborn 1-3 Borussia M'gladbach.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-08%
  • 3-16%

Borussia M'gladbach form

LLLLW
  • Wat Stuttgart3-22026-10-23
  • Lvs Hoffenheim1-22026-10-18
  • Lat Köln1-22026-10-11
  • Lvs Mainz 053-42026-09-19
  • Lat Freiburg0-52026-09-12

Paderborn form

LLWLD
  • Dat Werder Bremen2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Stuttgart0-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Hoffenheim3-12026-09-20
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund0-32026-09-12
  • Lvs Freiburg0-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2020-06-20Paderborn 1-3 Borussia M'gladbach

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.