Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 07 November 2026

Borussia Dortmund2nd · 18 pts
2 - 1Full time
Elversberg7th · 13 pts
Borussia DortmundDrawElversberg
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Borussia Dortmund to win (70%)
Our predictionBorussia Dortmund to winStrong pick
70%Probability
1.43Fair odds
1-0Likely score
2.03-0.94Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Borussia Dortmund70%1.43
  • Draw18%5.63
  • Elversberg12%8.04

Double chance

  • Borussia Dortmund or draw88%1.14
  • Borussia Dortmund or Elversberg82%1.22
  • Draw or Elversberg30%3.31

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.76
  • Under 2.543%2.32

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.11

Match in numbers

This season, Borussia Dortmund at home and Elversberg away

Borussia Dortmund (home)Elversberg (away)
Matches44
Points per game2.501.00
Goals scored per game2.001.00
Goals conceded per game0.502.00
Shots on target per game7.03.5
Shots on target conceded2.54.8
Clean sheets75%25%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%
Both teams scored25%25%
  • Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in 10 league matches.
  • Borussia Dortmund: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Elversberg: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 10th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Borussia Dortmund matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Elversberg matches: 3 of 3 correct.

Match preview

On the numbers this is Borussia Dortmund's match to lose. The model gives them 70%, with the draw at 18% and Elversberg at 12%.

At home this season Borussia Dortmund average 2.50 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Elversberg take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 7.0 per game for Borussia Dortmund at home and 3.5 for Elversberg on the road.

Current runs: Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in 10 league matches.

The model expects 2.03 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 0.94 from Elversberg; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 53%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-011%
  • 2-011%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-110%
  • 3-07%

Borussia Dortmund form

WDDWD
  • Dat Bayern Munich2-22026-10-31
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt1-02026-10-24
  • Dat Union Berlin0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Werder Bremen2-22026-10-09
  • Wat Stuttgart1-02026-09-19

Elversberg form

DLWLW
  • Wvs Mainz 054-12026-10-30
  • Lat RB Leipzig0-42026-10-24
  • Wvs Augsburg4-32026-10-17
  • Lat Union Berlin0-12026-10-10
  • Dat Schalke 040-02026-09-20

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.