Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Blackburn Rovers vs West Ham United prediction

England · Championship · 07 November 2026

Blackburn Rovers14th · 18 pts
2 - 1Full time
West Ham United8th · 23 pts
Blackburn RoversDrawWest Ham United
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: West Ham United to win (53%)
Our predictionWest Ham United to winLean
53%Probability
1.90Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.20-1.90Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Blackburn Rovers23%4.29
  • Draw24%4.17
  • West Ham United53%1.90

Double chance

  • Blackburn Rovers or draw47%2.11
  • Blackburn Rovers or West Ham United76%1.32
  • Draw or West Ham United77%1.30

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.67
  • Under 2.540%2.49

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.69
  • No41%2.46

Match in numbers

This season, Blackburn Rovers at home and West Ham United away

Blackburn Rovers (home)West Ham United (away)
Matches77
Points per game1.711.86
Goals scored per game1.712.57
Goals conceded per game1.291.43
Shots on target per game5.06.0
Shots on target conceded2.34.0
Clean sheets14%29%
Over 2.5 goals86%71%
Both teams scored86%71%
  • West Ham United have scored in 16 straight league matches.
  • Blackburn Rovers: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 21st and their defence 7th in the league.
  • West Ham United: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Blackburn Rovers matches: 2 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for West Ham United matches: 0 of 4 correct.

Match preview

West Ham United have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Blackburn Rovers at 23%.

At home this season Blackburn Rovers average 1.71 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home West Ham United take 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Blackburn Rovers manage 5.0 per home game and West Ham United 6.0 per away game.

Form lines: West Ham United have scored in 16 straight league matches.

Blackburn Rovers are 14th in the table while the model ranks them only 19th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

West Ham United sit 8th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 1st in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Blackburn Rovers 1.20, West Ham United 1.90. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-19%
  • 0-28%
  • 2-16%

Blackburn Rovers form

WLWLL
  • Lvs Stoke City1-22026-11-03
  • Lat Swansea City0-42026-10-31
  • Wvs Wrexham2-02026-10-24
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion2-32026-10-17
  • Wat Bristol City1-02026-10-13

West Ham United form

WWLLD
  • Dat Cardiff City3-32026-11-04
  • Lvs West Bromwich Albion1-32026-10-31
  • Lvs Southampton2-32026-10-24
  • Wat Swansea City1-02026-10-17
  • Wat Lincoln City6-02026-10-14

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.