Birmingham City vs Millwall prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Birmingham City49%2.05
- Draw27%3.72
- Millwall24%4.12
Double chance
- Birmingham City or draw76%1.32
- Birmingham City or Millwall73%1.37
- Draw or Millwall51%1.96
Goals
- Over 2.545%2.21
- Under 2.555%1.83
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.04
- No51%1.96
Match in numbers
This season, Birmingham City at home and Millwall away
| Birmingham City (home) | Millwall (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
- Birmingham City: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Millwall: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Our predictions for Birmingham City matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Millwall matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Birmingham City have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Millwall at 24%.
At home this season Birmingham City average 1.67 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Millwall take 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Birmingham City manage 4.5 per home game and Millwall 3.0 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Birmingham City 1.45, Millwall 1.03. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 45%.
In their last 5 league meetings Birmingham City won 2, Millwall won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 0-19%
- 2-09%
Birmingham City form
- Wat Lincoln City3-12026-10-31
- Lat Cardiff City0-12026-10-24
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers3-02026-10-17
- Wvs Preston North End4-02026-10-13
- Wat West Bromwich Albion1-02026-10-10
Millwall form
- Wvs Derby County4-12026-10-31
- Lat Portsmouth1-22026-10-24
- Dvs Lincoln City2-22026-10-17
- Lvs Swansea City0-12026-10-13
- Wat Preston North End1-02026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-02-25Millwall 3-0 Birmingham City
- 2025-11-04Birmingham City 4-0 Millwall
- 2024-03-09Millwall 1-0 Birmingham City
- 2023-09-02Birmingham City 1-1 Millwall
- 2023-04-18Millwall 0-1 Birmingham City
Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.