Lech PoznańEuropean cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Benfica74%1.35
- Draw15%6.50
- Lech Poznań11%9.32
Double chance
- Benfica or draw89%1.12
- Benfica or Lech Poznań85%1.18
- Draw or Lech Poznań26%3.83
Goals
- Over 2.574%1.35
- Under 2.526%3.86
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.69
- No41%2.44
Match preview
On the numbers this is Benfica's match to lose. The model gives them 74%, with the draw at 15% and Lech Poznań at 11%.
Current runs: Benfica have won their last 3 league matches.
The model expects 2.87 goals from Benfica and 0.99 from Lech Poznań; 2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 59%.
Benfica won both of the last meetings between the two.
Most likely scores
- 2-09%
- 2-19%
- 3-08%
- 3-18%
- 1-06%
Benfica form
- Wvs Alverca1-02026-11-02
- Wat Santa Clara2-12026-10-26
- Wat Omonia Nicosia4-12026-10-22
- Wvs Celtic4-12026-10-15
- Wvs Vitória Guimarães2-02026-10-11
Lech Poznań form
- Wvs Wisła Kraków3-12026-10-31
- Wat Legia Warszawa2-12026-10-25
- Dvs Sunderland1-12026-10-22
- Wvs Korona Kielce6-12026-10-18
- Lvs Bayer Leverkusen0-42026-10-15
Head to head
- 2020-12-03Benfica 4-0 Lech Poznań
- 2020-10-22Lech Poznań 2-4 Benfica
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.