Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Match preview

The model makes Bayern Munich clear favourites at 70%. The draw is rated at 18% and a win for Borussia Dortmund at 13%.

At home this season Bayern Munich average 3.00 points and 6.0 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Borussia Dortmund take 2.33 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Bayern Munich manage 13.7 per home game and Borussia Dortmund 2.7 per away game.

Form lines: Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 21 league matches; Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in 8 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Bayern Munich 2.41, Borussia Dortmund 0.99. The single most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 66%.

In their last 5 league meetings Bayern Munich won 2, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 2-010%
• 2-110%
• 1-08%
• 1-18%
• 3-08%

Bayern Munich form

• Wvs RB Leipzig6-12026-10-17
• Dat Augsburg2-22026-10-10
• Wvs Union Berlin7-02026-09-18
• Wat Elversberg2-12026-09-13
• Dat Schalke 040-02026-09-05

Borussia Dortmund form

• Dat Union Berlin0-02026-10-17
• Dvs Werder Bremen2-22026-10-09
• Wat Stuttgart1-02026-09-19
• Wvs Paderborn3-02026-09-12
• Wat Hoffenheim3-22026-09-05