Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 31 October 2026

Bayer Leverkusen4th · 13 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Stuttgart14th · 6 pts
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
Our predictionBayer Leverkusen to winLean
56%Probability
1.79Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.18-1.54Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bayer Leverkusen56%1.79
  • Draw20%4.97
  • Stuttgart24%4.18

Double chance

  • Bayer Leverkusen or draw76%1.31
  • Bayer Leverkusen or Stuttgart80%1.25
  • Draw or Stuttgart44%2.27

Goals

  • Over 2.572%1.39
  • Under 2.528%3.54

Both teams to score

  • Yes69%1.44
  • No31%3.27

Match in numbers

This season, Bayer Leverkusen at home and Stuttgart away

Bayer Leverkusen (home)Stuttgart (away)
Matches34
Points per game3.000.75
Goals scored per game2.671.00
Goals conceded per game0.332.00
Shots on target per game7.05.5
Shots on target conceded1.76.5
Clean sheets67%25%
Over 2.5 goals67%50%
Both teams scored33%50%
  • Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 3 league matches.
  • Bayer Leverkusen: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 4th in the league.
  • Stuttgart: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 7th in the league.

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 20% and a win for Stuttgart at 24%.

At home this season Bayer Leverkusen average 3.00 points and 2.7 goals per game, conceding 0.3. Away from home Stuttgart take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Bayer Leverkusen manage 7.0 per home game and Stuttgart 5.5 per away game.

Form lines: Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 3 league matches.

Stuttgart sit 14th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.18, Stuttgart 1.54. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 72%.

In their last 5 league meetings Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Stuttgart won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 3-16%
  • 1-26%

Bayer Leverkusen form

WDWWW
  • Wvs Freiburg2-12026-10-18
  • Wat Mainz 054-32026-10-10
  • Wvs RB Leipzig2-02026-09-20
  • Dat Augsburg2-22026-09-12
  • Wvs Union Berlin4-02026-09-05

Stuttgart form

LLWLL
  • Lvs Borussia M'gladbach2-32026-10-23
  • Lat Hamburger SV0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Paderborn2-02026-10-10
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Hoffenheim1-22026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-05-09Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2026-01-10Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 Stuttgart
  • 2025-03-16Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2024-11-01Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Stuttgart
  • 2024-04-27Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.