Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMarseille
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Bayer Leverkusen to win (63%)
Our predictionBayer Leverkusen to winStrong pick
63%Probability
1.58Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.21-1.39Expected goals
European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Bayer Leverkusen63%1.58
- Draw20%5.04
- Marseille17%5.94
Double chance
- Bayer Leverkusen or draw83%1.20
- Bayer Leverkusen or Marseille80%1.25
- Draw or Marseille37%2.73
Goals
- Over 2.570%1.43
- Under 2.530%3.30
Both teams to score
- Yes67%1.50
- No33%3.00
Match preview
On the numbers this is Bayer Leverkusen's match to lose. The model gives them 63%, with the draw at 20% and Marseille at 17%.
Form lines: Marseille have won their last 4 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.21, Marseille 1.39. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 70%.
Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-18%
- 3-17%
- 2-07%
- 2-26%
Bayer Leverkusen form
WWLWL
- Lvs Stuttgart2-42026-10-31
- Wvs Nürnberg5-22026-10-28
- Lat Hoffenheim0-32026-10-25
- Wat OFI2-02026-10-22
- Wvs Freiburg2-12026-10-18
Marseille form
LWLWW
- Wvs Toulouse2-02026-11-01
- Wvs Le Havre4-32026-10-25
- Lat Sturm Graz0-12026-10-22
- Wat Angers SCO5-22026-10-18
- Lvs Olympiakos0-12026-10-15
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.