Barnet vs York City prediction

England · League Two · 27 October 2026

Barnet2nd · 21 pts
Tue 27 Oct
York City6th · 17 pts
BarnetDrawYork City
Our predictionBarnet to winLean
50%Probability
1.99Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.79-1.33Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Barnet50%1.99
  • Draw24%4.18
  • York City26%3.86

Double chance

  • Barnet or draw74%1.35
  • Barnet or York City76%1.31
  • Draw or York City50%2.01

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.51

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.64
  • No39%2.56

Match preview

Barnet have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for York City at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Barnet 1.79, York City 1.33. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Barnet have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWWWW).

York City have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDWL).

In the table Barnet are 2nd with 21 points and York City 6th with 17.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Barnet form

WWWWL
  • Lvs Swindon Town1-32026-10-20
  • Wat Tranmere Rovers2-12026-10-17
  • Wat Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Fleetwood Town3-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Accrington Stanley2-12026-09-12

York City form

LWDDD
  • Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-20
  • Dat Newport County1-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Northampton Town1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Gillingham3-02026-09-26
  • Lat Chesterfield0-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More League Two predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.