Barnet vs Swindon Town prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Barnet
1 - 3Full time
Swindon Town
BarnetDrawSwindon Town
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Barnet to win (59%)
Our predictionBarnet to winLean
59%Probability
1.70Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.19-1.16Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Barnet59%1.70
  • Draw21%4.84
  • Swindon Town20%4.89

Double chance

  • Barnet or draw80%1.26
  • Barnet or Swindon Town79%1.26
  • Draw or Swindon Town41%2.43

Goals

  • Over 2.565%1.54
  • Under 2.535%2.86

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.64
  • No39%2.55

Match preview

Barnet have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Swindon Town at 20%.

Expected goals from the model: Barnet 2.19, Swindon Town 1.16. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 65%.

Barnet have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWD).

Swindon Town have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLDL).

In their last 2 league meetings Barnet won 1, Swindon Town won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-08%
  • 3-17%

Barnet form

DWWWW
  • Wat Tranmere Rovers2-12026-10-17
  • Wat Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Fleetwood Town3-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Accrington Stanley2-12026-09-12
  • Dat Chesterfield3-32026-09-05

Swindon Town form

LDLLD
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Crewe Alexandra0-12026-10-10
  • Lat Rochdale0-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-09-26
  • Lat Salford City0-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-02-17Barnet 1-2 Swindon Town
  • 2025-08-19Swindon Town 0-2 Barnet

More League Two predictions

All matches ›
Bristol RoversSwindon TownSat 24 Oct ·
Bristol RoversMatch result
46%
2.20Fair odds
Analysis
Cheltenham TownNewport CountySat 24 Oct ·
Cheltenham TownMatch result
45%
2.25Fair odds
Analysis
Northampton TownColchester UnitedSat 24 Oct ·
Northampton TownMatch result
38%
2.61Fair odds
Analysis
BarnetOldham AthleticSat 24 Oct ·
BarnetMatch result
59%
1.70Fair odds
Analysis
ChesterfieldCrewe AlexandraSat 24 Oct ·
ChesterfieldMatch result
53%
1.88Fair odds
Analysis
Crawley TownTranmere RoversSat 24 Oct ·
Crawley TownMatch result
42%
2.40Fair odds
Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.