Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Juventus to win (38%)
Our predictionJuventus to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.60Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.23-1.28Expected goals
European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- AZ35%2.84
- Draw26%3.80
- Juventus38%2.60
Double chance
- AZ or draw62%1.62
- AZ or Juventus74%1.36
- Draw or Juventus65%1.54
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.18
- Under 2.554%1.85
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.97
- No49%2.03
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 35% for AZ, 26% for the draw and 38% for Juventus.
The model expects 1.23 goals from AZ and 1.28 from Juventus; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 51%.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 1-010%
- 1-28%
- 0-08%
AZ form
WDWLL
- Lat Ajax0-12026-10-31
- Lvs Twente0-22026-10-25
- Wat Ararat-Armenia4-02026-10-22
- Dat Cambuur2-22026-10-18
- Wvs Hapoel Be'er Sheva2-12026-10-15
Juventus form
LDWLW
- Wvs Napoli2-02026-11-01
- Lat Genoa0-22026-10-28
- Wat Lecce2-02026-10-25
- Dvs Rennes2-22026-10-22
- Lvs Lazio0-32026-10-18
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.