Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Auxerre30%3.38
- Draw28%3.61
- Paris FC43%2.34
Double chance
- Auxerre or draw57%1.75
- Auxerre or Paris FC72%1.38
- Draw or Paris FC70%1.42
Goals
- Over 2.548%2.06
- Under 2.552%1.94
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.91
- No48%2.10
Match in numbers
This season, Auxerre at home and Paris FC away
| Auxerre (home) | Paris FC (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.8 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
- Auxerre have scored in 14 straight league matches.
- Auxerre: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Paris FC: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Our predictions for Auxerre matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Paris FC matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 30% for Auxerre, 28% for the draw and 43% for Paris FC.
At home this season Auxerre average 1.75 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Paris FC take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.8 per game for Auxerre at home and 3.0 for Paris FC on the road.
Current runs: Auxerre have scored in 14 straight league matches.
The model expects 1.18 goals from Auxerre and 1.43 from Paris FC; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 52%.
Both of their last league meetings ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 0-28%
Auxerre form
- Lat Strasbourg1-52026-11-01
- Dvs Le Mans1-12026-10-25
- Wat Le Havre3-12026-10-18
- Lat Rennes1-42026-10-11
- Wvs Brest2-12026-09-20
Paris FC form
- Wvs Monaco3-12026-11-01
- Lat Lens1-22026-10-24
- Wvs Rennes4-32026-10-18
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-10
- Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-02-08Auxerre 0-0 Paris FC
- 2025-11-29Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre
Prediction made 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.