Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Augsburg42%2.41
- Draw25%3.92
- Freiburg33%3.04
Double chance
- Augsburg or draw67%1.49
- Augsburg or Freiburg75%1.34
- Draw or Freiburg58%1.71
Goals
- Over 2.561%1.64
- Under 2.539%2.55
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.61
- No38%2.65
Match in numbers
This season, Augsburg at home and Freiburg away
| Augsburg (home) | Freiburg (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.7 | 4.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.7 | 3.7 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
- Augsburg have scored in 6 straight league matches.
- Freiburg have scored in 9 straight league matches.
- Augsburg: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Freiburg: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 3rd in the league.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Augsburg 42%, draw 25%, Freiburg 33%.
At home this season Augsburg average 1.67 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Freiburg take 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Augsburg manage 7.7 per home game and Freiburg 4.7 per away game.
Form lines: Augsburg have scored in 6 straight league matches; Freiburg have scored in 9 straight league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Augsburg 1.69, Freiburg 1.45. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.
In their last 5 league meetings Augsburg won 2, Freiburg won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 2-27%
Augsburg form
- Lat Elversberg3-42026-10-17
- Dvs Bayern Munich2-22026-10-10
- Lat Werder Bremen2-32026-09-19
- Dvs Bayer Leverkusen2-22026-09-12
- Wat Eintracht Frankfurt4-12026-09-06
Freiburg form
- Lat Bayer Leverkusen1-22026-10-18
- Wvs Schalke 042-12026-10-11
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2-22026-09-19
- Wvs Borussia M'gladbach5-02026-09-12
- Wat Paderborn1-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-01-18Augsburg 2-2 Freiburg
- 2025-08-23Freiburg 1-3 Augsburg
- 2025-03-02Augsburg 0-0 Freiburg
- 2024-10-19Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
- 2024-02-25Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg
More Bundesliga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.