Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 31 October 2026

Augsburg10th · 8 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Freiburg3rd · 13 pts
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
Our predictionAugsburg to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.41Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.69-1.45Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Augsburg42%2.41
  • Draw25%3.92
  • Freiburg33%3.04

Double chance

  • Augsburg or draw67%1.49
  • Augsburg or Freiburg75%1.34
  • Draw or Freiburg58%1.71

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.64
  • Under 2.539%2.55

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.61
  • No38%2.65

Match in numbers

This season, Augsburg at home and Freiburg away

Augsburg (home)Freiburg (away)
Matches33
Points per game1.671.33
Goals scored per game2.331.33
Goals conceded per game1.331.33
Shots on target per game7.74.7
Shots on target conceded6.73.7
Clean sheets33%33%
Over 2.5 goals100%67%
Both teams scored67%67%
  • Augsburg have scored in 6 straight league matches.
  • Freiburg have scored in 9 straight league matches.
  • Augsburg: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Freiburg: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 3rd in the league.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Augsburg 42%, draw 25%, Freiburg 33%.

At home this season Augsburg average 1.67 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Freiburg take 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Augsburg manage 7.7 per home game and Freiburg 4.7 per away game.

Form lines: Augsburg have scored in 6 straight league matches; Freiburg have scored in 9 straight league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Augsburg 1.69, Freiburg 1.45. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

In their last 5 league meetings Augsburg won 2, Freiburg won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-27%

Augsburg form

WDLDL
  • Lat Elversberg3-42026-10-17
  • Dvs Bayern Munich2-22026-10-10
  • Lat Werder Bremen2-32026-09-19
  • Dvs Bayer Leverkusen2-22026-09-12
  • Wat Eintracht Frankfurt4-12026-09-06

Freiburg form

WWDWL
  • Lat Bayer Leverkusen1-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Schalke 042-12026-10-11
  • Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Borussia M'gladbach5-02026-09-12
  • Wat Paderborn1-02026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-01-18Augsburg 2-2 Freiburg
  • 2025-08-23Freiburg 1-3 Augsburg
  • 2025-03-02Augsburg 0-0 Freiburg
  • 2024-10-19Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
  • 2024-02-25Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg

More Bundesliga predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.