Al Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 20 October 2026

Al Taawoun
0 - 1Full time
Al Qadsiah
Al TaawounDrawAl Qadsiah
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Al Qadsiah to win (64%)
Our predictionAl Qadsiah to winStrong pick
64%Probability
1.55Fair odds
0-2Likely score
0.91-2.19Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Taawoun16%6.40
  • Draw20%5.03
  • Al Qadsiah64%1.55

Double chance

  • Al Taawoun or draw36%2.82
  • Al Taawoun or Al Qadsiah80%1.25
  • Draw or Al Qadsiah84%1.19

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.67
  • Under 2.540%2.49

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.89
  • No47%2.12

Match preview

The model makes Al Qadsiah clear favourites, with a 64% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 20% and a win for Al Taawoun at 16%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Taawoun 0.91, Al Qadsiah 2.19. The single most likely score is 0-2 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Al Taawoun have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLLD).

Al Qadsiah have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).

In their last 5 league meetings Al Taawoun won 2, Al Qadsiah won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-211%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 1-19%
  • 0-38%

Al Taawoun form

DLLLD
  • Dat Al Diriyah1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Al Shabab0-32026-10-11
  • Lvs Al Hilal0-62026-09-12
  • Lat Al Hazem0-12026-09-08
  • Dvs Al Fateh0-02026-09-05

Al Qadsiah form

WWDWW
  • Wvs Abha2-12026-10-16
  • Wat Al Kholood5-02026-10-09
  • Dvs Al Ettifaq3-32026-09-11
  • Wvs Al Ahli3-22026-09-08
  • Wat Al Diriyah2-02026-09-03

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28Al Qadsiah 1-1 Al Taawoun
  • 2025-11-01Al Taawoun 2-0 Al Qadsiah
  • 2025-05-11Al Taawoun 0-1 Al Qadsiah
  • 2025-01-11Al Qadsiah 0-3 Al Taawoun
  • 2021-02-13Al Taawoun 0-2 Al Qadsiah

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.