NEOM vs Abha prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 24 October 2026

NEOM6th · 16 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Abha18th · 2 pts
NEOMDrawAbha
Our predictionNEOM to winLean
58%Probability
1.74Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.25-0.83Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • NEOM58%1.74
  • Draw24%4.16
  • Abha18%5.43

Double chance

  • NEOM or draw82%1.23
  • NEOM or Abha76%1.32
  • Draw or Abha42%2.35

Goals

  • Over 2.535%2.89
  • Under 2.565%1.53

Both teams to score

  • Yes40%2.50
  • No60%1.67

Match preview

NEOM have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Abha at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: NEOM 1.25, Abha 0.83. The single most likely score is 1-0 (16%), and the chance of three or more goals is 35%.

NEOM have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWW).

Abha have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLL).

In the table NEOM are 6th with 16 points and Abha 18th with 2.

Most likely scores

  • 1-016%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-012%
  • 0-111%
  • 2-010%

NEOM form

WWDLL
  • Lat Al Nassr0-12026-10-20
  • Lvs Al Ettifaq0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Al Hazem1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Al Fateh4-22026-09-13
  • Wat Al Hilal2-02026-09-07

Abha form

LLLDL
  • Lat Al Qadsiah1-22026-10-16
  • Dat Al Diriyah0-02026-09-13
  • Lat Al Nassr1-22026-09-09
  • Lvs Al Ettifaq0-12026-09-04
  • Lat Al Fayha2-32026-08-28

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.