NEOM vs Abha prediction
NEOM6th · 16 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Abha18th · 2 ptsNEOMDrawAbha
Our predictionNEOM to winLean
58%Probability
1.74Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.25-0.83Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- NEOM58%1.74
- Draw24%4.16
- Abha18%5.43
Double chance
- NEOM or draw82%1.23
- NEOM or Abha76%1.32
- Draw or Abha42%2.35
Goals
- Over 2.535%2.89
- Under 2.565%1.53
Both teams to score
- Yes40%2.50
- No60%1.67
Match preview
NEOM have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Abha at 18%.
Expected goals from the model: NEOM 1.25, Abha 0.83. The single most likely score is 1-0 (16%), and the chance of three or more goals is 35%.
NEOM have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWW).
Abha have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLL).
In the table NEOM are 6th with 16 points and Abha 18th with 2.
Most likely scores
- 1-016%
- 1-113%
- 0-012%
- 0-111%
- 2-010%
NEOM form
WWDLL
- Lat Al Nassr0-12026-10-20
- Lvs Al Ettifaq0-12026-10-17
- Dat Al Hazem1-12026-10-10
- Wvs Al Fateh4-22026-09-13
- Wat Al Hilal2-02026-09-07
Abha form
LLLDL
- Lat Al Qadsiah1-22026-10-16
- Dat Al Diriyah0-02026-09-13
- Lat Al Nassr1-22026-09-09
- Lvs Al Ettifaq0-12026-09-04
- Lat Al Fayha2-32026-08-28
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
All matches ›Al NassrMatch result
76%
1.32Fair odds
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Al IttihadMatch result
60%
1.67Fair odds
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Al HilalMatch result
40%
2.49Fair odds
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Al EttifaqMatch result
40%
2.52Fair odds
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Al RiyadhMatch result
37%
2.72Fair odds
Analysis
AbhaMatch result
38%
2.64Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.