Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 23 October 2026

Al Faisaly15th · 7 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Al Nassr3rd · 22 pts
Al FaisalyDrawAl Nassr
Our predictionAl Nassr to winStrong pick
76%Probability
1.32Fair odds
0-2Likely score
0.75-2.22Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Faisaly8%11.94
  • Draw16%6.23
  • Al Nassr76%1.32

Double chance

  • Al Faisaly or draw24%4.09
  • Al Faisaly or Al Nassr84%1.19
  • Draw or Al Nassr92%1.09

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.75
  • Under 2.543%2.33

Both teams to score

  • Yes47%2.13
  • No53%1.88

Match preview

The model makes Al Nassr clear favourites, with a 76% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 16% and a win for Al Faisaly at 8%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Faisaly 0.75, Al Nassr 2.22. The single most likely score is 0-2 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Al Faisaly have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWLDD).

Al Nassr have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWL).

In the table Al Faisaly are 15th with 7 points and Al Nassr 3rd with 22.

In their last 5 league meetings Al Faisaly won 2, Al Nassr won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-213%
  • 0-112%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-39%
  • 1-18%

Al Faisaly form

DDLWD
  • Dat Al Shabab2-22026-10-19
  • Wvs Al Kholood3-22026-10-15
  • Lvs Al Ittihad1-32026-09-11
  • Dat Al Ettifaq0-02026-09-08
  • Dvs Al Hazem0-02026-09-05

Al Nassr form

LWDWW
  • Wvs NEOM1-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Al Diriyah3-02026-10-09
  • Dat Al Khaleej1-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Abha2-12026-09-09
  • Lat Al Ittihad1-22026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2022-01-15Al Nassr 4-0 Al Faisaly
  • 2021-08-19Al Faisaly 2-1 Al Nassr
  • 2021-05-05Al Nassr 4-3 Al Faisaly
  • 2020-12-31Al Faisaly 2-3 Al Nassr
  • 2020-03-07Al Faisaly 3-2 Al Nassr

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.