Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah prediction
Al Ittihad4th · 20 ptsFri 23 Oct
Al Diriyah7th · 15 ptsAl IttihadDrawAl Diriyah
Our predictionAl Ittihad to winLean
60%Probability
1.67Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.64-0.98Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Al Ittihad60%1.67
- Draw22%4.47
- Al Diriyah18%5.58
Double chance
- Al Ittihad or draw82%1.22
- Al Ittihad or Al Diriyah78%1.29
- Draw or Al Diriyah40%2.48
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.06
- Under 2.551%1.95
Both teams to score
- Yes50%1.99
- No50%2.01
Match preview
Al Ittihad have the edge at 60%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Al Diriyah at 18%.
Expected goals from the model: Al Ittihad 1.64, Al Diriyah 0.98. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.
Al Ittihad have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWW).
Al Diriyah have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDLDW).
In the table Al Ittihad are 4th with 20 points and Al Diriyah 7th with 15.
Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-111%
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 0-17%
Al Ittihad form
WWWLW
- Wat Al Ettifaq4-12026-10-20
- Lat Al Hilal2-32026-10-10
- Wat Al Faisaly3-12026-09-11
- Wvs Al Fayha2-12026-09-08
- Wvs Al Nassr2-12026-09-05
Al Diriyah form
WDLDW
- Wvs Al Riyadh1-02026-10-20
- Dvs Al Taawoun1-12026-10-17
- Lat Al Nassr0-32026-10-09
- Dvs Abha0-02026-09-13
- Wat Al Fateh2-12026-09-09
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
All matches ›Al NassrMatch result
76%
1.32Fair odds
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Al HilalMatch result
40%
2.49Fair odds
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NEOM
Abha
NEOMMatch result
58%
1.74Fair odds
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Al EttifaqMatch result
40%
2.52Fair odds
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Al RiyadhMatch result
37%
2.72Fair odds
Analysis
AbhaMatch result
38%
2.64Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.