Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 23 October 2026

Al Ittihad4th · 20 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Al Diriyah7th · 15 pts
Al IttihadDrawAl Diriyah
Our predictionAl Ittihad to winLean
60%Probability
1.67Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.64-0.98Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Ittihad60%1.67
  • Draw22%4.47
  • Al Diriyah18%5.58

Double chance

  • Al Ittihad or draw82%1.22
  • Al Ittihad or Al Diriyah78%1.29
  • Draw or Al Diriyah40%2.48

Goals

  • Over 2.549%2.06
  • Under 2.551%1.95

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%1.99
  • No50%2.01

Match preview

Al Ittihad have the edge at 60%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Al Diriyah at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Ittihad 1.64, Al Diriyah 0.98. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.

Al Ittihad have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWW).

Al Diriyah have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDLDW).

In the table Al Ittihad are 4th with 20 points and Al Diriyah 7th with 15.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-17%

Al Ittihad form

WWWLW
  • Wat Al Ettifaq4-12026-10-20
  • Lat Al Hilal2-32026-10-10
  • Wat Al Faisaly3-12026-09-11
  • Wvs Al Fayha2-12026-09-08
  • Wvs Al Nassr2-12026-09-05

Al Diriyah form

WDLDW
  • Wvs Al Riyadh1-02026-10-20
  • Dvs Al Taawoun1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Al Nassr0-32026-10-09
  • Dvs Abha0-02026-09-13
  • Wat Al Fateh2-12026-09-09

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.