Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 23 October 2026

Al Qadsiah1st · 25 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Al Hilal2nd · 24 pts
Al QadsiahDrawAl Hilal
Our predictionAl Hilal to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.49Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.36-1.57Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Qadsiah33%3.00
  • Draw27%3.77
  • Al Hilal40%2.49

Double chance

  • Al Qadsiah or draw60%1.67
  • Al Qadsiah or Al Hilal73%1.36
  • Draw or Al Hilal67%1.50

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.78
  • Under 2.544%2.28

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.70
  • No41%2.42

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Al Qadsiah 33%, draw 27%, Al Hilal 40%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Qadsiah 1.36, Al Hilal 1.57. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

Al Qadsiah have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).

Al Hilal have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLW).

In the table Al Qadsiah are 1st with 25 points and Al Hilal 2nd with 24.

In their last 5 league meetings Al Qadsiah won 1, Al Hilal won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-07%

Al Qadsiah form

WDWWW
  • Wat Al Taawoun1-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Abha2-12026-10-16
  • Wat Al Kholood5-02026-10-09
  • Dvs Al Ettifaq3-32026-09-11
  • Wvs Al Ahli3-22026-09-08

Al Hilal form

WLWWW
  • Wvs Al Hazem1-02026-10-19
  • Wvs Al Ittihad3-22026-10-10
  • Wat Al Taawoun6-02026-09-12
  • Lvs NEOM0-22026-09-07
  • Wat Al Shabab2-02026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-01-29Al Qadsiah 2-2 Al Hilal
  • 2025-09-13Al Hilal 2-2 Al Qadsiah
  • 2025-05-26Al Hilal 2-0 Al Qadsiah
  • 2025-01-27Al Qadsiah 2-1 Al Hilal
  • 2021-03-20Al Hilal 1-0 Al Qadsiah

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.