Al Shabab vs Al Ahli prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 30 October 2026

Al Shabab11th · 11 pts
Fri 30 Oct
Al Ahli5th · 18 pts
Al ShababDrawAl Ahli
Our predictionAl Ahli to winLean
58%Probability
1.72Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.12-1.83Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Shabab20%5.08
  • Draw22%4.49
  • Al Ahli58%1.72

Double chance

  • Al Shabab or draw42%2.38
  • Al Shabab or Al Ahli78%1.29
  • Draw or Al Ahli80%1.25

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.77
  • Under 2.544%2.30

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.78
  • No44%2.29

Match preview

Al Ahli have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Al Shabab at 20%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Shabab 1.12, Al Ahli 1.83. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

Al Shabab have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDWDL).

Al Ahli have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLW).

In the table Al Shabab are 11th with 11 points and Al Ahli 5th with 18.

In their last 5 league meetings Al Shabab won 1, Al Ahli won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-29%
  • 1-06%

Al Shabab form

LDWDW
  • Wat Al Fateh3-12026-10-22
  • Dvs Al Faisaly2-22026-10-19
  • Wvs Al Taawoun3-02026-10-11
  • Dvs Al Fayha0-02026-09-12
  • Lat Al Kholood1-22026-09-09

Al Ahli form

WLWWW
  • Wat Al Fayha3-22026-10-19
  • Wat Al Fateh4-02026-10-09
  • Wvs Al Hazem3-12026-09-11
  • Lat Al Qadsiah2-32026-09-08
  • Wvs Al Riyadh5-02026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-02-13Al Shabab 2-5 Al Ahli
  • 2025-10-17Al Ahli 1-1 Al Shabab
  • 2025-05-11Al Shabab 3-1 Al Ahli
  • 2025-01-10Al Ahli 3-2 Al Shabab
  • 2024-05-11Al Shabab 1-2 Al Ahli

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.