Al Shabab vs Al Ahli prediction
Al Shabab11th · 11 pts
Al Ahli5th · 18 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Al Shabab20%5.08
- Draw22%4.49
- Al Ahli58%1.72
Double chance
- Al Shabab or draw42%2.38
- Al Shabab or Al Ahli78%1.29
- Draw or Al Ahli80%1.25
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.77
- Under 2.544%2.30
Both teams to score
- Yes56%1.78
- No44%2.29
Match preview
Al Ahli have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Al Shabab at 20%.
Expected goals from the model: Al Shabab 1.12, Al Ahli 1.83. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Al Shabab have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDWDL).
Al Ahli have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLW).
In the table Al Shabab are 11th with 11 points and Al Ahli 5th with 18.
In their last 5 league meetings Al Shabab won 1, Al Ahli won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-29%
- 1-06%
Al Shabab form
- Wat Al Fateh3-12026-10-22
- Dvs Al Faisaly2-22026-10-19
- Wvs Al Taawoun3-02026-10-11
- Dvs Al Fayha0-02026-09-12
- Lat Al Kholood1-22026-09-09
Al Ahli form
- Wat Al Fayha3-22026-10-19
- Wat Al Fateh4-02026-10-09
- Wvs Al Hazem3-12026-09-11
- Lat Al Qadsiah2-32026-09-08
- Wvs Al Riyadh5-02026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-02-13Al Shabab 2-5 Al Ahli
- 2025-10-17Al Ahli 1-1 Al Shabab
- 2025-05-11Al Shabab 3-1 Al Ahli
- 2025-01-10Al Ahli 3-2 Al Shabab
- 2024-05-11Al Shabab 1-2 Al Ahli
More Saudi Pro League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.