Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 29 October 2026

Al Riyadh13th · 9 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Al Qadsiah1st · 25 pts
Al RiyadhDrawAl Qadsiah
Our predictionAl Qadsiah to winStrong pick
73%Probability
1.37Fair odds
0-2Likely score
0.90-2.23Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Riyadh11%9.35
  • Draw17%6.06
  • Al Qadsiah73%1.37

Double chance

  • Al Riyadh or draw27%3.68
  • Al Riyadh or Al Qadsiah83%1.20
  • Draw or Al Qadsiah89%1.12

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.65
  • Under 2.539%2.54

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.89
  • No47%2.12

Match preview

The model makes Al Qadsiah clear favourites, with a 73% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 17% and a win for Al Riyadh at 11%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Riyadh 0.90, Al Qadsiah 2.23. The single most likely score is 0-2 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

Al Riyadh have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWDL).

Al Qadsiah have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).

In the table Al Riyadh are 13th with 9 points and Al Qadsiah 1st with 25.

In their last 4 league meetings Al Riyadh won 1, Al Qadsiah won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-211%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 1-19%
  • 0-38%

Al Riyadh form

LDWDL
  • Lat Al Diriyah0-12026-10-20
  • Dat Al Fayha1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Al Kholood2-02026-09-13
  • Dat Al Khaleej0-02026-09-07
  • Lat Al Ahli0-52026-09-04

Al Qadsiah form

WDWWW
  • Wat Al Taawoun1-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Abha2-12026-10-16
  • Wat Al Kholood5-02026-10-09
  • Dvs Al Ettifaq3-32026-09-11
  • Wvs Al Ahli3-22026-09-08

Head to head

  • 2026-04-29Al Riyadh 0-4 Al Qadsiah
  • 2026-01-04Al Qadsiah 4-0 Al Riyadh
  • 2025-03-02Al Qadsiah 1-0 Al Riyadh
  • 2024-10-04Al Riyadh 2-1 Al Qadsiah

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.