Al Nassr vs Al Kholood prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 29 October 2026

Al Nassr3rd · 22 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Al Kholood9th · 12 pts
Al NassrDrawAl Kholood
Our predictionAl Nassr to winStrong pick
83%Probability
1.21Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.55-0.77Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Nassr83%1.21
  • Draw11%8.80
  • Al Kholood6%17.56

Double chance

  • Al Nassr or draw94%1.06
  • Al Nassr or Al Kholood89%1.13
  • Draw or Al Kholood17%5.86

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.55
  • Under 2.536%2.81

Both teams to score

  • Yes49%2.03
  • No51%1.97

Match preview

The model makes Al Nassr clear favourites, with a 83% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 11% and a win for Al Kholood at 6%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Nassr 2.55, Al Kholood 0.77. The single most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

Al Nassr have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWL).

Al Kholood have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLWD).

In the table Al Nassr are 3rd with 22 points and Al Kholood 9th with 12.

In their last 4 league meetings Al Nassr won 3, Al Kholood won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-012%
  • 3-010%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 3-18%

Al Nassr form

LWDWW
  • Wvs NEOM1-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Al Diriyah3-02026-10-09
  • Dat Al Khaleej1-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Abha2-12026-09-09
  • Lat Al Ittihad1-22026-09-05

Al Kholood form

DWLLL
  • Lat Al Faisaly2-32026-10-15
  • Lvs Al Qadsiah0-52026-10-09
  • Lat Al Riyadh0-22026-09-13
  • Wvs Al Shabab2-12026-09-09
  • Dat Al Fayha2-22026-09-03

Head to head

  • 2026-01-30Al Kholood 0-3 Al Nassr
  • 2025-09-14Al Nassr 2-0 Al Kholood
  • 2025-03-14Al Nassr 3-1 Al Kholood
  • 2024-10-25Al Kholood 3-3 Al Nassr

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.