Al Hilal vs Al Hazem prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 19 October 2026

Al Hilal
1 - 0Full time
Al Hazem
Al HilalDrawAl Hazem
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Al Hilal to win (82%)
Our predictionAl Hilal to winStrong pick
82%Probability
1.23Fair odds
3-0Likely score
3.05-0.68Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Hilal82%1.23
  • Draw12%8.38
  • Al Hazem6%15.42

Double chance

  • Al Hilal or draw94%1.07
  • Al Hilal or Al Hazem88%1.14
  • Draw or Al Hazem18%5.43

Goals

  • Over 2.572%1.39
  • Under 2.528%3.54

Both teams to score

  • Yes47%2.13
  • No53%1.88

Match preview

The model makes Al Hilal clear favourites, with a 82% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 12% and a win for Al Hazem at 6%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Hilal 3.05, Al Hazem 0.68. The single most likely score is 3-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 72%.

Al Hilal have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).

Al Hazem have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDLWD).

In their last 5 league meetings Al Hilal won 5, Al Hazem won 0 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 3-011%
  • 2-011%
  • 4-09%
  • 3-18%
  • 2-18%

Al Hilal form

WWLWW
  • Wvs Al Ittihad3-22026-10-10
  • Wat Al Taawoun6-02026-09-12
  • Lvs NEOM0-22026-09-07
  • Wat Al Shabab2-02026-09-04
  • Wvs Al Ahli3-02026-09-01

Al Hazem form

DWLDL
  • Lvs Al Fateh2-32026-10-15
  • Dvs NEOM1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Al Ahli1-32026-09-11
  • Wvs Al Taawoun1-02026-09-08
  • Dat Al Faisaly0-02026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Al Hazem 0-3 Al Hilal
  • 2026-01-08Al Hilal 3-0 Al Hazem
  • 2024-05-11Al Hilal 4-1 Al Hazem
  • 2023-11-25Al Hazem 0-9 Al Hilal
  • 2022-02-26Al Hilal 2-0 Al Hazem

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.