Al Fayha vs Al Ahli prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 19 October 2026

Al Fayha
2 - 3Full time
Al Ahli
Al FayhaDrawAl Ahli
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Al Ahli to win (68%)
Our predictionAl Ahli to winStrong pick
68%Probability
1.48Fair odds
0-2Likely score
0.74-2.15Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Fayha13%7.81
  • Draw19%5.13
  • Al Ahli68%1.48

Double chance

  • Al Fayha or draw32%3.10
  • Al Fayha or Al Ahli81%1.24
  • Draw or Al Ahli87%1.15

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.82
  • Under 2.545%2.22

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.18
  • No54%1.85

Match preview

The model makes Al Ahli clear favourites, with a 68% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Al Fayha at 13%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Fayha 0.74, Al Ahli 2.15. The single most likely score is 0-2 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

Al Fayha have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDDLD).

Al Ahli have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWL).

In their last 5 league meetings Al Fayha won 0, Al Ahli won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-213%
  • 0-112%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-39%
  • 1-19%

Al Fayha form

DLDDL
  • Lat Al Khaleej0-22026-10-15
  • Dvs Al Riyadh1-12026-10-11
  • Dat Al Shabab0-02026-09-12
  • Lat Al Ittihad1-22026-09-08
  • Dvs Al Kholood2-22026-09-03

Al Ahli form

LWLWW
  • Wat Al Fateh4-02026-10-09
  • Wvs Al Hazem3-12026-09-11
  • Lat Al Qadsiah2-32026-09-08
  • Wvs Al Riyadh5-02026-09-04
  • Lat Al Hilal0-32026-09-01

Head to head

  • 2026-04-08Al Fayha 1-1 Al Ahli
  • 2025-12-30Al Ahli 2-0 Al Fayha
  • 2025-04-18Al Ahli 5-0 Al Fayha
  • 2024-11-22Al Fayha 0-1 Al Ahli
  • 2024-05-27Al Ahli 1-0 Al Fayha

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.