Al Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction
Al Fateh16th · 6 pts
Al Shabab13th · 8 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Al Fateh33%3.00
- Draw25%4.02
- Al Shabab42%2.39
Double chance
- Al Fateh or draw58%1.72
- Al Fateh or Al Shabab75%1.33
- Draw or Al Shabab67%1.50
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.81
- Under 2.545%2.24
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.72
- No42%2.38
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Al Fateh 33%, draw 25%, Al Shabab 42%.
Expected goals from the model: Al Fateh 1.34, Al Shabab 1.55. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.
Al Fateh have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLL).
Al Shabab have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLL).
In the table Al Fateh are 16th with 6 points and Al Shabab 13th with 8.
In their last 5 league meetings Al Fateh won 2, Al Shabab won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-08%
Al Fateh form
- Lvs Al Khaleej2-32026-10-18
- Wat Al Hazem3-22026-10-15
- Lvs Al Ahli0-42026-10-09
- Lat NEOM2-42026-09-13
- Lvs Al Diriyah1-22026-09-09
Al Shabab form
- Dvs Al Faisaly2-22026-10-19
- Wvs Al Taawoun3-02026-10-11
- Dvs Al Fayha0-02026-09-12
- Lat Al Kholood1-22026-09-09
- Lvs Al Hilal0-22026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-04-28Al Shabab 1-1 Al Fateh
- 2026-01-03Al Fateh 2-0 Al Shabab
- 2025-05-01Al Fateh 3-1 Al Shabab
- 2024-12-05Al Shabab 2-2 Al Fateh
- 2024-05-27Al Shabab 3-2 Al Fateh
More Saudi Pro League predictions
All matches ›Prediction made 2026-10-22 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.