Al Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 22 October 2026

Al Fateh16th · 6 pts
1 - 3Full time
Al Shabab13th · 8 pts
Al FatehDrawAl Shabab
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Al Shabab to win (42%)
Our predictionAl Shabab to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.39Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.34-1.55Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Fateh33%3.00
  • Draw25%4.02
  • Al Shabab42%2.39

Double chance

  • Al Fateh or draw58%1.72
  • Al Fateh or Al Shabab75%1.33
  • Draw or Al Shabab67%1.50

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.81
  • Under 2.545%2.24

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.72
  • No42%2.38

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Al Fateh 33%, draw 25%, Al Shabab 42%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Fateh 1.34, Al Shabab 1.55. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

Al Fateh have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLL).

Al Shabab have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLL).

In the table Al Fateh are 16th with 6 points and Al Shabab 13th with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings Al Fateh won 2, Al Shabab won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-08%

Al Fateh form

LLLWL
  • Lvs Al Khaleej2-32026-10-18
  • Wat Al Hazem3-22026-10-15
  • Lvs Al Ahli0-42026-10-09
  • Lat NEOM2-42026-09-13
  • Lvs Al Diriyah1-22026-09-09

Al Shabab form

LLDWD
  • Dvs Al Faisaly2-22026-10-19
  • Wvs Al Taawoun3-02026-10-11
  • Dvs Al Fayha0-02026-09-12
  • Lat Al Kholood1-22026-09-09
  • Lvs Al Hilal0-22026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-04-28Al Shabab 1-1 Al Fateh
  • 2026-01-03Al Fateh 2-0 Al Shabab
  • 2025-05-01Al Fateh 3-1 Al Shabab
  • 2024-12-05Al Shabab 2-2 Al Fateh
  • 2024-05-27Al Shabab 3-2 Al Fateh

More Saudi Pro League predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-22 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.