Al Diriyah vs NEOM prediction

Saudi Arabia · Saudi Pro League · 30 October 2026

Al Diriyah7th · 15 pts
Fri 30 Oct
NEOM6th · 16 pts
Al DiriyahDrawNEOM
Our predictionNEOM to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.69Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.94-1.16Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Al Diriyah32%3.09
  • Draw30%3.28
  • NEOM37%2.69

Double chance

  • Al Diriyah or draw63%1.59
  • Al Diriyah or NEOM70%1.44
  • Draw or NEOM68%1.48

Goals

  • Over 2.535%2.87
  • Under 2.565%1.54

Both teams to score

  • Yes41%2.41
  • No59%1.71

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Al Diriyah 32%, draw 30%, NEOM 37%.

Expected goals from the model: Al Diriyah 0.94, NEOM 1.16. The single most likely score is 0-1 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 35%.

Al Diriyah have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDLDW).

NEOM have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWW).

In the table Al Diriyah are 7th with 15 points and NEOM 6th with 16.

Most likely scores

  • 0-115%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-012%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-28%

Al Diriyah form

WDLDW
  • Wvs Al Riyadh1-02026-10-20
  • Dvs Al Taawoun1-12026-10-17
  • Lat Al Nassr0-32026-10-09
  • Dvs Abha0-02026-09-13
  • Wat Al Fateh2-12026-09-09

NEOM form

WWDLL
  • Lat Al Nassr0-12026-10-20
  • Lvs Al Ettifaq0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Al Hazem1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Al Fateh4-22026-09-13
  • Wat Al Hilal2-02026-09-07

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.